Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.019262 0.020770 0.022341 0.024098 0.026012 0.028034 0.030334
2025-11-09 0.016483 0.018607 0.020933 0.023674 0.026823 0.030334 0.034556
2025-11-16 0.014615 0.017063 0.019846 0.023255 0.027331 0.032068 0.038014
2025-11-23 0.013401 0.016078 0.019216 0.023182 0.028086 0.033981 0.041653
2025-11-30 0.012380 0.015201 0.018593 0.022997 0.028601 0.035540 0.044858
2025-12-07 0.011560 0.014486 0.018086 0.022873 0.029122 0.037068 0.048044
2025-12-14 0.010832 0.013824 0.017580 0.022685 0.029504 0.038388 0.050983
2025-12-21 0.010295 0.013362 0.017288 0.022732 0.030164 0.040071 0.054466
2025-12-28 0.009751 0.012853 0.016893 0.022600 0.030550 0.041372 0.057463
2026-01-04 0.009301 0.012439 0.016594 0.022567 0.031047 0.042827 0.060730
2026-01-11 0.008936 0.012117 0.016395 0.022650 0.031693 0.044501 0.064388
2026-01-18 0.008567 0.011767 0.016135 0.022621 0.032164 0.045930 0.067739
2026-01-25 0.008195 0.011410 0.015866 0.022595 0.032675 0.047504 0.071512
2026-02-01 0.007735 0.010906 0.015365 0.022203 0.032626 0.048243 0.074049
2026-02-08 0.007313 0.010435 0.014886 0.021814 0.032547 0.048918 0.076510
2026-02-15 0.007016 0.010131 0.014633 0.021746 0.032950 0.050346 0.080257
2026-02-22 0.006713 0.009803 0.014326 0.021574 0.033170 0.051484 0.083582
2026-03-01 0.006446 0.009517 0.014067 0.021459 0.033466 0.052748 0.087181
2026-03-08 0.006183 0.009223 0.013781 0.021283 0.033649 0.053824 0.090511
2026-03-15 0.005991 0.009029 0.013639 0.021327 0.034188 0.055512 0.095009
2026-03-22 0.005771 0.008783 0.013404 0.021204 0.034436 0.056713 0.098700
2026-03-29 0.005586 0.008582 0.013231 0.021173 0.034833 0.058182 0.102964
2026-04-05 0.005435 0.008429 0.013126 0.021250 0.035415 0.059998 0.107979